What shutdown of USAID programs means for vulnerable Arab countries

Analysis What shutdown of USAID programs means for vulnerable Arab countries
The Trump administration has slashed funding for aid and development projects, including in Gaza, but experts warn that ending USAID programs could fuel unrest, economic decline, and extremist recruitment. (AFP)
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Updated 04 March 2025
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What shutdown of USAID programs means for vulnerable Arab countries

What shutdown of USAID programs means for vulnerable Arab countries
  • The Trump administration has slashed funding for aid projects it says “do not align with US national interests”
  • Experts warn that ending USAID programs could fuel unrest, economic decline, and extremist recruitment

LONDON: The impact of the Trump administration’s decision to slash $60 billion in aid funding and cancel 90 percent of contracts by the US Agency for International Development is being felt by millions of the most vulnerable people in the Middle East and North Africa.

In countries like Iraq, Syria and Yemen, lifesaving aid programs to feed and provide healthcare for huge populations affected by conflict have halted. In Jordan, hundreds of development projects to boost the economy face an uncertain future and thousands of jobs may disappear.

The widespread halt in aid was confirmed just as countries across the region started to mark the holy month of Ramadan.

In an internal memo and filings in federal lawsuits, the US administration said it is eliminating more than 90 percent of USAID’s foreign aid contracts and $60 billion in overall assistance around the world. The memo said officials were “clearing significant waste stemming from decades of institutional drift.”




Displaced Sudanese people at a camp near the town of Tawila in North Darfur. (AFP)

More changes are planned in how USAID and the State Department deliver foreign assistance, it said, “to use taxpayer dollars wisely to advance American interests.”

Many Republican lawmakers believe USAID has been wasteful and harbors a liberal agenda. President Donald Trump has also promised to dramatically reduce spending and shrink the federal government.

USAID’s supporters say the agency not only provides vital assistance around the world, but for less than one percent of the federal budget, it is also America’s greatest soft power tool.

The crisis first arose on Jan. 20 when Trump signed an executive order halting all foreign assistance for a 90-day review period because the aid industry was “not aligned with American interests.”

Within days, Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency was homing in on USAID programs, and by last week termination letters had been sent to nongovernmental organizations around the world.

Nearly 5,800 of USAID’s 6,200 multi-year contracts worth $54 billion were cut. The State Department also cut $4.4 billion in foreign aid-related grants.

Much of the agency’s vast array of work, from providing food to the starving, healthcare programs and economic development initiatives, has been stopped.

Many promised waivers for lifesaving programs have reportedly failed to materialize.

More than 6,000 of USAID’s 10,000 staff have been placed on administrative leave or fired, and tens of thousands of people working around the world have also lost their jobs.

Control of USAID has been moved to the State Department, which is locked in legal battles over the cuts. The department did not respond to a request for comment.

The MENA region received $3.9 billion from USAID in 2023. The sudden removal of the agency’s support could cause further suffering and instability in the region, Yossi Mekelberg, associate fellow of the MENA Program at Chatham House, told Arab News.

“We’re talking about budgets of billions, which goes to projects between humanitarian and development,” he said. “The minute you take it away, you make people either suffer from humanitarian crises or you stop the development of these countries.

“If you want to maintain stability in the Middle East, which is important to the United States, you need economic development.”

Below are details of how the shuttering of USAID has affected people and projects across the region.

IRAQ

In a country where more than 1 million people have still not returned to their homes after the war with Daesh extremists ended in 2017, USAID provided vital support to vulnerable populations.

Since the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein, the agency has spent billions trying to help Iraq rebuild. USAID funded clean water supplies, food aid, healthcare and support for women victims of violence.

The agency also provided grants to grow businesses and boost local economies and funded development projects to improve water supplies and food production.

The amount spent in Iraq in 2023 was more than $220 million, but many of the long-term projects, which have now stopped, were based on spending commitments over many years.

One USAID officer working on Iraq told Arab News that he could not imagine what would happen to Iraq’s displaced population without the agency’s funding.




USAID has spent billions trying to support Iraqis. (AFP)

“It’s heartbreaking,” he said. “I shudder to think of the human impacts of this, the lives lost, the time … it will take to ever recover from this. The whole sector is destroyed.”

Before the widespread canceling of contracts last week, he said some UN agencies and NGOs continued with essential assistance as they tried to interpret Trump’s executive order and the promised waivers.

Now everything related to USAID funding had stopped, said the officer, whose decade-long career with the agency was also terminated with 15 days’ notice.

This included assistance to the 100,000 displaced people in 21 formal camps in the northern Kurdish region.

The USAID officer said the halt was particularly bitter for Iraqis given the recent history of US foreign policy in the country.

He said the halting of aid risks plunging Iraq back into chaos by opening the way for extremist ideologies to regain traction.

“We are pulling the rug out from under what the US would consider a critical ally in this region.”

SYRIA

The humanitarian community was just getting to grips with a new Syria after the fall of President Bashar Assad in December.

The approach to delivering aid to the country during its 14-year civil war was hampered by the division of territory under the warring parties, along with international sanctions against the Assad regime.

Finally, it seemed, a coordinated surge of humanitarian operations could take place with new rulers in Damascus in control of much of the country.

“It was the opportunity in Syria for the first time in 14 years to really do an ‘all of country’ response,” Imrul Islam from the Syria International NGO Regional Forum told Arab News.




Al-Hol camp in Syria’s northeastern Al-Hasakah Governorate. (AFP/File)

The war had left more than 16 million Syrians needing humanitarian aid, according to the UN.

Islam estimates that USAID paid for at least a quarter of the entire humanitarian funding in Syria, with the northern parts of the country particularly reliant on NGOs to deliver essential aid.

When the “stop work” orders were sent in January from USAID to the NGOs they funded, it was a bitter blow.

Aid organizations in Syria were left in limbo as most projects ground to a halt almost overnight. The waivers granted for lifesaving aid failed to deliver a release of funds, so organizations continued essential deliveries by running up debt.

Last week’s blanket termination of contracts means that almost everything previously funded by USAID has now stopped, including operations considered lifesaving.

NGO coordination forums in Syria are assessing the scale of the fallout, but already Islam warned that “people will die” as a result.




NGOs estimate that at least 300,000 people would be affected by the halting of water and sanitation projects, and around 600,000 are not receiving food assistance. (AFP/File)

Several international NGOs rely on USAID for 95 percent of their funding and are now deciding whether they will have to leave Syria altogether.

As of February, NGOs estimate that at least 300,000 people would be affected by the halting of water and sanitation projects, and around 600,000 are not receiving food assistance.

In just northeast Syria, at least 2,800 per month would lose access to surgical procedures. “Thousands and thousands” of people are losing their jobs, Islam said.

Millions of people, he added, would lose access to assistance in the north of the country.

GAZA

The USAID freeze has jeopardized aid supplies to Gaza, where Israel’s ongoing war with Hamas and other militant groups has left the entire population of more than 2 million reliant on humanitarian assistance.

It also risks undermining the ceasefire agreed in January that halted the devastating 15-month conflict.

USAID has provided $2.1 billion in humanitarian assistance in Gaza since October 2023, when Hamas attacked Israel, triggering the war.

The agency said in November it would provide an additional $230 million for economic recovery and development programs in the West Bank and Gaza.

Staff working for USAID on Palestine have been laid off. The organizations that deliver aid inside Gaza have also stopped working, their contracts have been terminated, and local Palestinian employees have lost their jobs.

“It’s a very bleak picture,” Dave Harden, a former USAID mission director for Gaza and the West Bank, told Arab News.




USAID said in November it would provide an additional $230 million for economic recovery and development programs in the West Bank and Gaza. (AFP/File)

“There’s no people, there’s no officers, there’s no staff, there’s no budget, there’s no (Washington) D.C. back office and there’s no active agreements.”

He agreed that it placed extra pressure on an already fragile ceasefire that relies on a massive aid delivery operation to alleviate the suffering.

“The risks are higher if there is any reduction in food,” he said.

So far, he believed UN reserves of food and other aid have filled the gap left by USAID, but this will start to run out.

Harden said the loss of USAID was not only devastating for Palestinians but also bad for Israel, which often used the agency as a communication channel.

JORDAN

As a long-term, reliable and stable US ally in the region, Jordan was the third largest recipient of USAID funding globally.

In 2023, the kingdom received $1.2 billion from the agency with much of it being used to support economic development.

While not suffering the scale of the humanitarian struggles in other countries in the region, the USAID funding supported businesses and government projects.




In 2023, the kingdom received $1.2 billion from USAID with much of it being used to support economic development. (AFP/File)

The funding was so entwined in Jordan’s economy that it accounted for more than 2 percent of the country’s gross domestic product in 2024, Reuters reported, citing JPMorgan.

The cuts in funding have rippled through the economy, leading to thousands of job losses according to some reports.

Rana Sweis spent a year going through an extensive application process to secure funding for a project for her Amman-based media and marketing company, Wishbox Media.

She then waited more than four months before approval came for an $81,000 grant from USAID’s Makanati project, which encouraged women into work in Jordan.

The year-long project started in May 2024 with money released in monthly increments in line with regular progress reports.

When she was told in January that funding would be frozen, her company was more than 80 percent through the promised work on empowering women in the workforce.

This included a 25-minute documentary, social media campaigns, infographics and other multimedia production.




As a long-term, reliable and stable US ally in the region, Jordan was the third largest recipient of USAID funding globally. (AFP/File)

Sweis said they now expect to lose nearly half of the grant but still hope to receive two pending payments left outstanding.

She had to let one staff member go and cancel the company’s internship program. “It’s a big loss for a small company, but what can I do?” she told Arab News.

“People are losing their jobs in Washington, people are not getting all these humanitarian lifesaving vaccines in Africa, and that’s how I deal with the loss we had.”

While she may be putting the impact on her company in perspective, hundreds of businesses across Jordan would have been taking similar or even greater financial hits in recent weeks.

“It’s a shock for Wishbox, but it’s a shock for me personally because USAID is such an integral part of Jordan and the development of Jordan,” she said. “It’s in every sector, in education, in water and in every level, from the government to civil society.”

YEMEN

Yemen is considered one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises, with half of the country’s population requiring assistance, according to the UN.

With one-third of the money to pay for that aid coming from the US — mostly through USAID — there is deep concern about the impact the agency’s cutbacks will have on the country.

The US announced $220 million in additional aid, including nearly $200 million through USAID, in May 2024.

Yemen’s civil war began in 2014 when the Houthi militia, backed by Iran, took control of the capital and largest city, Sanaa, demanding a new government.




The US announced $220 million in additional aid, including nearly $200 million through USAID, in May 2024. (AFP/File)

Since the eruption of the war, the US has spent nearly $5.9 billion on the humanitarian response, according to a US Embassy statement last year.

One aid worker in Yemen told Arab News that projects across the country helping feed families, providing critical healthcare and improving water sanitation had been halted.

The worker said the cuts had come at a particularly difficult time with the start of Ramadan.

 


US holds secret talks with Hamas on Gaza hostages, source says

Palestinian Hamas militants keep guard on the day Hamas hands over deceased hostages seized during the October 7, 2023 attacks.
Palestinian Hamas militants keep guard on the day Hamas hands over deceased hostages seized during the October 7, 2023 attacks.
Updated 05 March 2025
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US holds secret talks with Hamas on Gaza hostages, source says

Palestinian Hamas militants keep guard on the day Hamas hands over deceased hostages seized during the October 7, 2023 attacks.
  • US special envoy for hostage affairs Adam Boehler has been holding the direct talks with Hamas in recent weeks in Doha, the source said

WASHINGTON: The Trump administration has been conducting secret talks with Hamas on the possibility of releasing US hostages being held in Gaza, a source briefed on the conversations told Reuters.
US special envoy for hostage affairs Adam Boehler has been holding the direct talks with Hamas in recent weeks in Doha, the source said, confirming a report by Axios.
Until recently the United States had avoided direct discussions with the militant group. The US State Department designated Hamas as a foreign terrorist organization in 1997.
The Israeli embassy in Washington did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Boehler’s office declined to comment. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
The source said the talks have focused on gaining the release of American hostages still held in Gaza, but also have included discussions about a broader deal to release all remaining hostages and how to reach a long-term truce.
US President Donald Trump’s Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff plans to return to the region in coming days to work out a way to either extend the first phase of the Gaza ceasefire deal or advance to the second phase, a State Department spokesperson said on Monday.


Israel’s cutoff of supplies to Gaza sends prices soaring as aid stockpiles dwindle

Israel’s cutoff of supplies to Gaza sends prices soaring as aid stockpiles dwindle
Updated 05 March 2025
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Israel’s cutoff of supplies to Gaza sends prices soaring as aid stockpiles dwindle

Israel’s cutoff of supplies to Gaza sends prices soaring as aid stockpiles dwindle
  • The aid freeze has imperiled the progress aid workers say they have made to stave off famine over the past six weeks
  • Israel says the siege aims at pressuring Hamas to accept ceasefire proposal

JERUSALEM: Israel’s cutoff of food, fuel, medicine and other supplies to Gaza’s 2 million people has sent prices soaring and humanitarian groups into overdrive trying to distribute dwindling stocks to the most vulnerable.
The aid freeze has imperiled the progress aid workers say they have made to stave off famine over the past six weeks during Phase 1 of the ceasefire deal Israel and Hamas agreed to in January.
After more than 16 months of war, Gaza’s population is entirely dependent on trucked-in food and other aid. Most are displaced from their homes, and many need shelter. Fuel is needed to keep hospitals, water pumps, bakeries and telecommunications — as well as trucks delivering the aid — operating.
Israel says the siege aims at pressuring Hamas to accept its ceasefire proposal. Israel has delayed moving to the second phase of the deal it reached with Hamas, during which the flow of aid was supposed to continue. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tuesday that he is prepared to increase the pressure and would not rule out cutting off all electricity to Gaza if Hamas doesn’t budge.
Rights groups have called the cutoff a “starvation policy.”
Four days in, how is the cutoff affecting Gaza?
Food, fuel and shelter supplies are threatened
The World Food Program, the UN’s main food agency, says it has no major stockpile of food in Gaza because it focused on distributing all incoming food to hungry people during Phase 1 of the deal. In a statement to AP, it said existing stocks are enough to keep bakeries and kitchens running for under two weeks.
WFP said it may be forced to reduce ration sizes to serve as many people as possible. It said its fuel reserves, necessary to run bakeries and transport food, will last for a few weeks if not replenished soon.
There’s also no major stockpile of tents in Gaza, said Shaina Low, communications adviser for the Norwegian Refugee Council. The shelter materials that came in during the ceasefire’s first phase were “nowhere near enough to address all of the needs,” she said.
“If it was enough, we wouldn’t have had infants dying from exposure because of lack of shelter materials and warm clothes and proper medical equipment to treat them,” she said.
At least seven infants in Gaza died from hypothermia during Phase 1.
Urgently checking reserves
“We’re trying to figure out, what do we have? What would be the best use of our supply?” said Jonathan Crickx, chief of communication for UNICEF. “We never sat on supplies, so it’s not like there’s a huge amount left to distribute.”
He predicted a “catastrophic result” if the aid freeze continues.
During the ceasefire’s first phase, humanitarian agencies rushed in supplies, with about 600 trucks entering per day on average. Aid workers set up more food kitchens, health centers and water distribution points. With more fuel coming in, they could double the amount of water drawn from wells, according to the UN humanitarian agency.
Around 100,000 tents also arrived as hundreds of thousands of Palestinians tried to return to their homes, only to find them destroyed or too damaged to live in.
But the progress relied on the flow of aid continuing.
Oxfam has 26 trucks with thousands of food packages and hygiene kits and 12 trucks of water tanks waiting outside Gaza, said Bushra Khalidi, Oxfam’s policy lead in the West Bank.
“This is not just about hundreds of trucks of food, it’s about the total collapse of systems that sustain life,” she said.
The International Organization for Migration has 22,500 tents in its warehouses in Jordan after trucks brought back their undelivered cargo once entry was barred, said Karl Baker, the agency’s regional crisis coordinator.
The International Rescue Committee has 6.7 tons of medicines and medical supplies waiting to enter Gaza and its delivery is “highly uncertain,” said Bob Kitchen, vice president of its emergencies and humanitarian action department.
Medical Aid for Palestinians said it has trucks stuck at Gaza’s border carrying medicine, mattresses and assistive devices for people with disabilities. The organization has some medicine and materials in reserve, said spokesperson Tess Pope, but “we don’t have stock that we can use during a long closure of Gaza.”
Prices up sharply
Prices of vegetables and flour are now climbing in Gaza after easing during the ceasefire.
Sayed Mohamed Al-Dairi walked through a bustling market in Gaza City just after the aid cutoff was announced. Already, sellers were increasing the prices of dwindling wares.
“The traders are massacring us, the traders are not merciful to us,” he said. “In the morning, the price of sugar was 5 shekels. Ask him now, the price has become 10 shekels.”
In the central Gaza city of Deir Al-Balah, one cigarette priced at 5 shekels ($1.37) before the cutoff now stands at 20 shekels ($5.49). One kilo of chicken (2.2 pounds) that was 21 shekels ($5.76) is now 50 shekels ($13.72). Cooking gas has soared from 90 shekels ($24.70) for 12 kilos (26.4 pounds) to 1,480 shekels ($406.24).
Following the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas attack on Israel, Israel cut off all aid to Gaza for two weeks — a measure central to South Africa’s case accusing Israel of genocide in Gaza at the International Court of Justice. That took place as Israel launched the most intense phase of its aerial bombardment of Gaza, one of the most aggressive campaigns in modern history.
Palestinians fear a repeat of that period.
“We are afraid that Netanyahu or Trump will launch a war more severe than the previous war,” said Abeer Obeid, a Palestinian woman from northern Gaza. “For the extension of the truce, they must find any other solution.”


Lebanon official media says two wounded in Israeli strikes in south

Lebanon official media says two wounded in Israeli strikes in south
Updated 05 March 2025
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Lebanon official media says two wounded in Israeli strikes in south

Lebanon official media says two wounded in Israeli strikes in south
  • “Israeli drones carried out more than one strike on a vehicle in Ras Naqura, near a rubbish dump” south of a UN peacekeeping position
  • The strikes come a day after Israel’s military said it killed a Hezbollah navy commander in the south

BEIRUT: Lebanese official media said two people were wounded Wednesday when Israeli drones struck a vehicle in the south, a day after a deadly raid and despite an Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire.
“Israeli drones carried out more than one strike on a vehicle in Ras Naqura, near a rubbish dump” south of a United Nations peacekeeping position, the National News Agency (NNA) said.
“Two siblings who were collecting scrap metal” were wounded and taken to hospital, it added.
The strikes come a day after Israel’s military said it killed a Hezbollah navy commander in the south, accusing the slain militant of violating the November 27 ceasefire.
The truce largely halted more than a year of hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, including two months of full-blown war during which Israel sent in ground troops.
Israel has continued to carry out strikes on Lebanese territory since the agreement took effect.
Israel was due withdraw from Lebanon by February 18 after missing a January deadline, but it has kept troops at five locations it deems “strategic.”
The ceasefire also required Hezbollah to pull back north of the Litani River, about 30 kilometers (20 miles) from the border, and to dismantle any remaining military infrastructure in the south.
Last week, Defense Minister Israel Katz said Israeli forces would remain indefinitely in what he called a “buffer zone” in south Lebanon.


Paramilitary shelling of Sudan camp kills 6: activists

Paramilitary shelling of Sudan camp kills 6: activists
Updated 05 March 2025
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Paramilitary shelling of Sudan camp kills 6: activists

Paramilitary shelling of Sudan camp kills 6: activists
  • Wednesday’s shelling came a day after the group reported 80 casualties from artillery fire on Tuesday
  • The RSF assault on the camp began on Sunday, the second day of the holy Muslim month of Ramadan in the northeast African country

PORT SUDAN: Paramilitary shelling of a famine-hit displacement camp near North Darfur’s besieged capital of El-Fasher killed six people on Wednesday, activists in Sudan said.
The Rapid Support Forces (RSF), locked in a brutal conflict with the regular army since April 2023, pressed an attack on the Abu Shouk camp, said the local resistance committee, one of hundreds of volunteer groups coordinating aid across Sudan.
Wednesday’s shelling came a day after the group reported 80 casualties from artillery fire on Tuesday, although it could not confirm the exact numbers of dead and wounded.
The RSF assault on the camp began on Sunday, the second day of the holy Muslim month of Ramadan in the northeast African country.
Civilians had been shopping for Ramadan supplies when shells hit the camp and a crowded market nearby, killing six people, rescuers said.
The attacks come as the RSF keeps up its months-long siege of El-Fasher, the last state capital in the vast western region of Darfur still under army control.
Fighting around the city has seen the army and allied forces repel repeated paramilitary attacks as civilians bear the brunt of relentless shelling.
The RSF holds nearly all of Darfur while the army controls the country’s east and north and has this year made gains in the capital Khartoum and central Sudan.
The war has claimed the lives of tens of thousands of people and uprooted more than 12 million, making it the “biggest humanitarian crisis ever recorded,” according to the International Rescue Committee.
In North Darfur alone, nearly 1.7 million people are displaced.
Around two million people face extreme food insecurity, and 320,000 are already suffering famine conditions, according to UN estimates.
Famine has hit three displacement camps around El-Fasher — Zamzam, Abu Shouk and Al-Salam — and is expected to spread to five more areas, including El-Fasher itself, by May.


Doha rejects Israeli probe linking Qatari aid to Hamas attack

Men sit at the Doha Corniche backdropped by high buildings in Doha on March 3, 2025, during Ramadan. (AFP)
Men sit at the Doha Corniche backdropped by high buildings in Doha on March 3, 2025, during Ramadan. (AFP)
Updated 05 March 2025
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Doha rejects Israeli probe linking Qatari aid to Hamas attack

Men sit at the Doha Corniche backdropped by high buildings in Doha on March 3, 2025, during Ramadan. (AFP)
  • Qatar has hosted Hamas’s political office since 2012, with the blessing of the United States
  • “Claims that Qatari aid went to Hamas are entirely false and serve as evidence that the accusers are intent on prolonging the war”: Qatar’s International Media Office

DOHA: Qatar on Wednesday rebuffed what it said were “false accusations” by Israel’s domestic security agency attributing funds from the Gulf state to an increase in Hamas’s military strength before its unprecedented October 7 2023 attack.
“False accusations made by the Shin Bet security agency linking Qatari aid to the October 7 attack are yet another example of deflection driven by self-interest and self-preservation in Israeli politics,” Qatar’s International Media Office said in a statement.
The security agency published findings from an internal probe on Tuesday acknowledging its own failings in preventing the over-border attack from Gaza on southern Israel which sparked 15 months of war in the Palestinian territory.
The Shin Bet report also said “the influx of Qatari funds and their transfer to the military wing” was one of the “main reasons for the strengthening of Hamas that allowed it to launch the attack,” according to its executive summary.
“It is well known within Israel and internationally that all aid sent from Qatar to Gaza was transferred with the full knowledge, support, and supervision of the current and previous Israeli administrations and their security agencies — including the Shin Bet,” the Qatari statement said.
“No aid has ever been delivered to Hamas’s political or military wing,” it added.
Qatar has hosted Hamas’s political office since 2012, with the blessing of the United States, but also fueling accusations that it supports the Palestinian militants, which Doha has always denied.
The gas-rich Gulf state played a key role in securing a fragile truce in Gaza, mediating between Hamas and Israel alongside the United States and Egypt.
Since the deal’s first phase ended at the weekend, after six weeks of relative calm that included exchanges of Israeli hostages for Palestinian prisoners, the parties have hit an impasse over the truce’s continuation.
“At this critical juncture, the Shin Bet and other Israeli security agencies should focus on saving the remaining hostages and finding a solution that ensures long-term regional security, rather than resorting to diversionary tactics,” the Qatari statement said.
“Claims that Qatari aid went to Hamas are entirely false and serve as evidence that the accusers are intent on prolonging the war,” it added.
Hamas’s October 7 attack on Israel resulted in the deaths of 1,218 people, most of them civilians, while Israel’s military retaliation in Gaza has killed at least 48,405 people, also mostly civilians, data from both sides show.